Why should we be so excited over the Red Sox winning the AL East for the second year in a row? After all, we won it in 2016 and we still got trounced by the Cleveland Indians in the first round, without making a whimper of resistance. Same team; different faces. Right?
Hey, at least we’re not in that Wild Card Game skirmish like the Yankees!
The Sox will be taking on the Houston Astros in game 1 of the 2017 ALDS, on Thursday night. They’ll endeavor to defeat one of the best teams in the MLB, in a 3 game series, without the invaluable leadership of Big Papi. This is the season subsequent to David Ortiz’s departure from both the Sox and baseball, so it’s understandable that foreboding and defeatism abounds. Boston has not been in this territory, without Ortiz at the helm, for well over a decade now.
But where we have lost our beloved iteration of “Mr. October” we’ve gained something that many would consider to be more integral to any solid postseason team, something that we really didn’t have in 2016: Starting pitching.
This new component is greatly polished by the talents of ace Chris Sale and his trusty sidekick Drew Pomeranz. Taking sort of a myopic, yet calculated, look at Boston’s path in the 2017 postseason, it’s evident that we should be able to get off to a strong start against the Astros - much stronger than the start that we got off to last year.
The Hand You’re Dealt
Okay so Houston may have lead the MLB in runs per game in 2017, at 5.33. And sure, they hit about 1.5 HR’s per game, where the Sox barely averaged 1. But believe it or not, this is quite a favorable matchup for Boston. According to the aggregate statistics, we have the Astros’ number. The flare of Houston’s hitting has been historically extinguished by the current members of the Sox starting rotation, namely by southpaws Chris Sale and Drew Pomeranz.
Collectively Houston batters have a .227 BA, against the dynamic-duo of Sale and Pomeranz. That stat is derived from a considerable sample size of 217 AB’s. Including sluggers like Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa, the Astros have a measly team OPS of .624 against the Sox frontmen. Bear in mind that this is practically .200 lower than their overall 2017 OPS of .823. It’s clear that the Red Sox have an inherent advantage here.
Chris Sale has the more impressive record of the two lefties. He’ll be bolstering an opponent BA of .205 and an OPS of .535, going up against Houston in the first postseason start of his career.
Sale has been scrupulously tested in the regular season. But, as we all know, October is a singular contest.
Getting the Ball Rolling
An impassioned competitor, Sale will be pitching in Game 1 on 7-days rest - a full week. Hopefully, his yearning to win will have festered him to the point of athletic belligerence when it comes time for him to toe the rubber on Thursday. We’ve heard from Sale strong asseverations concerning the postseason, such as “this is what I’m here for”. Well, it’s now or never.
If Chris Sale could secure for the Red Sox a pivotal opening victory, it would inoculate this young team with the confidence that they need to go on a serious postseason run. Such a streak would help to separate Boston from the haunting shadow of Big Papi’s absence.
This is an absolutely enthralling time to be a fan of the Sox. Finally, David Ortiz alone is not the barometer for our potential success in October. We got here without him, and come Thursday night, we should see how we can win without him.